WWC26 Superforecaster
Forecasts
Teams
Fixtures
Last 17/06 04:35 ET
Since last forecast
KO times ET
16/06 15:00
FRA
3-1
SEN
16/06 18:00
IRA
1-4
NOR
16/06 21:00
ARG
3-0
ALG
17/06 00:00
AUS
3-1
JOR
17/06 13:00
POR
1-1
CON
Estimated WC winner shift
1.
FRA
11.5
13.6%
+2.1ppt
2.
ARG
9.6
10.8%
+1.1ppt
3.
ENG
9.9
9.2%
-0.8ppt
5 results since last forecast (which ran @ 04:35 ET
, most recent
POR
1-1
CON
)
Predicted outcomes for each nation
Accurate as of last full run 17 June 04:35 ET (NYC)
Last 32
Last 16
Quarters
Semis
Final
Champion
% win WC
1
Spain
15.5%
2
France
11.5%
3
England
9.9%
4
Argentina
9.6%
5
Portugal
8.5%
6
Brazil
7.3%
7
Germany
6.7%
8
Netherlands
4.5%
9
Colombia
4.2%
10
Belgium
4.0%
11
Norway
2.5%
12
Croatia
1.7%
Show all 48 teams
Mode is the likeliest exit, mean the average
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